Sunday, June 29, 2008

And you thought that facial hair died in the 40s.

Not sure what Robert Mugabe is going for here. But when I see that type of mustache, I only think one thing and it's not kitler.

Saturday, June 28, 2008

Let's go buy some guns!

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/06/27/AR2008062702864.html

Tuesday, June 24, 2008

An Early Breakdown

Here is the BBC take on early election polls and the states to watch. I think they might be right about a dam breaking late and there are going to be a few surprises later on. Remember the key early primary issue was the Iraq war but that has seemed fade from the American consciousness . In spite of this or maybe because of it, I feel that it is a bad way to elect a president because currently this country's main problem is its lack of long term thinking.

Shameless

At least now she's just explicitly asking people to pay off her debt.

http://www.hillaryclinton.com/feature/specialthankyou/?sc=1905&utm_source=1905&utm_medium=e

Friday, June 20, 2008

The "C" Story

Tuesday, June 17, 2008

Filling sandbags versus moneybags

The differences between McBush and Obama on this matter are interesting.. especially given the other flood McCain spent doing nothing.

re: Is the Hillary campaign really dead?

That's exactly what she's doing. Hillary still has a lot of debt, and she needs to get rid of as much of it as possible before her next senate race.

Choosing to "suspend" rather than "end" her campaign allows it to continue legally accepting donations.

Quickie: http://www.dallasnews.com/sharedcontent/dws/news/politics/national/stories/DN-suspendbox_08pol.ART.State.Edition1.46d8a20.html

Monday, June 16, 2008

Is the Hillary campaign really dead?

Hillary's now defunct (?) campaign sent this email out this afternoon. Touching, yes, but the "Contribute" button at the bottom confused me as it still leads to the Hillary Clinton for President donation form. Is this a sneaky way of saying "Please pay off my debt"?

-----------

Dear Andrew,

Together, you and I changed America forever. We touched so many lives over the course of this campaign, and I can't thank you enough for the support you showed me. I met so many wonderful people out on the trail, and I wanted to share some of those memories with you.

I hope you'll take a moment to view our online album with some favorite photos from the campaign.

Thank you so much -- I'll be in touch soon.

Sincerely,
Hillary
Hillary Rodham Clinton
Contribute

Friday, June 13, 2008

Not just a spike

Here's an interview with Fareed Zakaria about why high oil prices are here to stay.

Also, Tim Russert you will be missed.

Wednesday, June 11, 2008

Answering Dave Chappelle

In his sketch I know black people, Dave Chapelle asked "Why do black people love menthol cigarettes?"
The correct answer was "I don't know".

In it's quest for all things truthy, the New York Times put this
slideshow
together to partially answer that question.

If you don't want to waste your time, their argument is that there was a slight preference for menthols by African Americans after WWII that the cigarette companies enhanced by decades of heavy and direct marketing.

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Tuesday, June 10, 2008

Enough about Rezko

Here's a good list of talking points for when someone brings up Tony Rezko again.

http://blogs.chicagotribune.com/news_columnists_ezorn/2008/06/reality-check-t.html

Our Debt Culture

David Brooks has an interesting piece in today's NYT about the preponderance of debt in modern American culture. It's something I had a tacit feeling for, but no solid understanding of. I haven't read the Institute for American Values's report, but ties nicely to a This American Life episode (Act Two) I heard on the radio a few weeks ago.

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Sunday, June 8, 2008

Sexism didn't defeat hillary

So, Hillary's "i lost because of sexism" argument drives me nuts. She lost because of her inferior election strategy, management and execution. I think maureen dowd has is about right in her piece.

Got some free time to kill?

I thought I would pass along the following site:

bloggingheads.tv

It's a fairly good site offering dialogues on various topics, though most center on politics. There's a pretty good one with Ruy Teixeira (of the Brookings Institution, as well as the Salon article I blogged about earlier, who specializes in demographics and voting trends) and Reihan Salam (a conservative who blogs at The American Scene).

Anyway, it's a nice way to not work and still feel like you're being productive and/or learning something.

the michelle obama "whitey" tape

Folks, our greatest fears confirmed.

Saturday, June 7, 2008

hillary bows

Just as I thought, that was the best Hillary speech I've ever heard...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lm5hQDFfRvA

Friday, June 6, 2008

The Concession is Coming

Dear Andrew,

I have been honored and privileged to work with so many dedicated people on Hillary's historic campaign. Your enthusiastic commitment to her campaign through the primaries has been inspirational.

As you know, Hillary will be holding an event tomorrow in Washington D.C. to thank all of her supporters, to express her support for Senator Obama, and to talk about the issues that have been at the core of her public service, the issues she will continue fighting for.

Hillary wanted to make sure her online supporters were a part of this special event, just as you have been a part of her campaign from the very beginning. So, we will be streaming it live over the website at HillaryClinton.com.

We invite you to visit our website tomorrow, Saturday June 7, at 12 p.m. EDT to watch Hillary speak live.

Thank you for everything you have done for our campaign.

Sincerely,
Maggie Williams
Maggie Williams
Campaign Manager
Hillary Clinton for President

Oil Continues to confuse me

Here is an article saying that the price for oil won't hold up. I think this shows me I really don't understand economics. This sounds entirely plausible to me. Yet I don't think the oil boom is going away. I don't see how world demand will come down exactly. And Thomas Friedman seems to say that we need set a price floor for a gallon of oil. I don't really understand that either. Plus he makes the point that China is subsidizing it's oil prices. That should keep the price of oil higher than what is efficient right? Also, if the oil boom does come down what does that mean? How do you think it will play politically?

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Thursday, June 5, 2008

The Empire Strikes Barack

Have five minutes to spare? Check this out.

Social Surplus in the Information Age

At the dawn of the industrial revolution, society was so torn up with the move from rural to urban areas they did nothing but drink gin. Decades later people figured that building libraries and museums was a way to turn the excess productivity of the industrial revolution into social goods. Today we are sit at a similar juncture, waiting to see how the cognitive capital we have accumulated will be put to use:
Gin, Television, and Social Surplus.

another way to think about michigan

In Michigan, Clinton was the only name on the ballot, the others having withdrawn their names to conform with the rules against too-early primaries. Competing against no one in what was considered a meaningless primary, Clinton won 55% of the vote. But a staggering 40% of Democratic primary voters went out in the middle of winter to vote for "uncommitted," i. e., to vote for anyone but Hillary Clinton.

Hillary's email from 9 hours ago

Dear Andrew,

I wanted you to be one of the first to know: on Saturday, I will hold an event in Washington D.C. to thank everyone who has supported my campaign. Over the course of the last 16 months, I have been privileged and touched to witness the incredible dedication and sacrifice of so many people working for our campaign. Every minute you put into helping us win, every dollar you gave to keep up the fight meant more to me than I can ever possibly tell you.

On Saturday, I will extend my congratulations to Senator Obama and my support for his candidacy. This has been a long and hard-fought campaign, but as I have always said, my differences with Senator Obama are small compared to the differences we have with Senator McCain and the Republicans.

I have said throughout the campaign that I would strongly support Senator Obama if he were the Democratic Party's nominee, and I intend to deliver on that promise.

When I decided to run for president, I knew exactly why I was getting into this race: to work hard every day for the millions of Americans who need a voice in the White House.

I made you -- and everyone who supported me -- a promise: to stand up for our shared values and to never back down. I'm going to keep that promise today, tomorrow, and for the rest of my life.

I will be speaking on Saturday about how together we can rally the party behind Senator Obama. The stakes are too high and the task before us too important to do otherwise.

I know as I continue my lifelong work for a stronger America and a better world, I will turn to you for the support, the strength, and the commitment that you have shown me in the past 16 months. And I will always keep faith with the issues and causes that are important to you.

In the past few days, you have shown that support once again with hundreds of thousands of messages to the campaign, and again, I am touched by your thoughtfulness and kindness.

I can never possibly express my gratitude, so let me say simply, thank you.

Sincerely,
Hillary
Hillary Rodham Clinton

How to give a John McCain speech:

http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/6/5/73920/18340

>> Speak in front of a bright green backdrop. This is known as a "green screen" and it can be used later to insert special effects behind you, like car chases and lightsaber duels.

>> Start your speech with: "My friends..." and use this phrase frequently as a crutch to allow your brain to catch up with your mouth.

>> Tell a lie right out of the gate ("Pundits and party elders have declared that Senator Obama will be my opponent") and then say you'll run an honorable campaign.

>> Smile awkwardly at inappropriate times, like when you're talking about casualties in Iraq or home foreclosures. Nothing says "I care" like gleaming metal and ivory.

>> When the crowd applauds, act like you've never heard such a noise before and make facial gestures indicating you’d like it to stop.

>> Clamp your eyeballs on the teleprompter like a vise. When you switch your gaze to a different prompter, take a moment to focus your eyes. This slight pause in your cadence will sound awkward and stiff, but it will prevent you from saying things like, "We have succseen the success..."

>> There's nothing better to whip a crowd into a froth with than laundry lists!! You'll want at least five in your speech. Be sure they're lists of things that the Republican party has screwed up over the last eight years. Like this: "Health care, energy, the environment, the tax code, our public schools, our transportation system, disaster relief, government spending and regulation, diplomacy, military and intelligence services."

Here's another: "Job loss, failing schools, prohibitively expensive health care, pensions at risk, 'entitlement programs' approaching bankruptcy, rising gas and food prices, to name a few." The last four words are important to say, because you don't want to give away the entire list of failures so early in the campaign. Pace yourself and keep them guessing.

>> Blink your eyes like a strobelight. Appearing uncomfortable inspires confidence!

>> When laying out your generic to-do list for Americans ("We have to rethink, reform, and reinvent the way we educate our children, train our workers, deliver our health care services, support our retirees, fuel our transportation network, stimulate research and development, and harness new technologies."), make it sound like you're assigning ten hours of homework to a classroom of sixth-graders the day before summer vacation starts.

>> Remind Americans of a natural disaster that took place recently and which your party leaders reacted to with off-the-charts incompetence. But don’t mention the part where you were enjoying birthday cake a couple thousand miles away with the President when it happened. As you talk about the failures of the federal Katrina disaster relief effort, take a moment to flash one of those inappropriate smiles. It's funny!

>> Repeat, virtually word for word, a talking point of a conservative 527 group. It's OK if you're a Republican!

>> Rail against special interests, but don’t mention the lobbyists that have swarmed around your campaign like locusts.

>> Finally, to really make Americans stand up and cheer, have your speech interrupted by Wolf Blitzer with breaking news that Barack Obama has just become the Democratic nominee for president.

Then sit back and bask in the glow of the rave reviews. You are so awesome!!


McCain wants town hall debates because it allows him to speak extemporaneously (which he's better at than his prepared speeches, obviously).

Wednesday, June 4, 2008

Novak has it right

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/06/hillarys_latest_provocation.html

Obama's Victory Speech

In case you didn't get to catch Obama's victory speech last night, you can see it here:

http://my.barackobama.com/page/content/june3rd

He spoke from St. Paul Minnesota, the site of the Republican convention in September. The dude has foresight.







I really don't understand this speech. Some of the best speeches of a campaign are concession speeches, Gore and Kerry's concession speeches come to mind (then again that might be why they lost). I don't think this counts as that. Although I do think of the three speeches last night Hillary had the hardest job. McCain's and Obama's speeches were both very good. It seemed like Hillary's speech was made to bide time for her. We'll see. Though it was also disheartening to see that there were no olive branches offered out in this speech. I am curious to hear what other people thought.

Also, I think Isaac Chotiner is right. MSNBC needs to stop being such homers for Obama.

last night's speech

http://my.barackobama.com/page/content/june3rd

Race in the Democratic Primary

Over the weekend, Salon.com had an interesting round table discussion of the role of race in the Democratic primary. I don't agree with everything said in the article, but a lot of good points are raised. Specifically, there are some important statements made about the confluence and confusion of race, culture, and socioeconomics. Also, I think Obama has moved away from a populist image (I recall his economic policies being labeled populist as well as socialist at the beginning of the primary), and he may need to go back to that image in order to win the <$50k/working-class/"low-information"/whatever crowd. Then again, he may not need to win these votes. (Note: the NYT article discusses white working-class voters.)

And here's one of my disagreements about the article. I think it's Wilentz who claims that they can't make any statements about the role of race really since the polling data is aggregate and they can't really know if any of Hillary's supporters were racist or not because they don't have any data on that. I submit to you the following clips:



And on a funnier, but also sad, note:



Obviously, these are only a few people and not necessarily representative of all WV voters. But I don't think you can just brush aside the fact that race played a role -- a very backwards, negative role -- in at least West Virginia.

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The First one

So this is the first and maybe the shortest of many blogs to come. I guess I have the ability to edit this blog and take down posts. I don't anticipate having to do that unless someone does something stupid like post pictures of Mohammed. The format might get tweaked a little as we go along, but we'll figure it out. Anyway, I hope you enjoy.